61-12, Bring on Week Two!

By Amsinger - September 04, 2006


Following Monday night's Miami/Florida State ballgame (I took FSU by the way), Mr. Off Prompter is all grins after a stellar 61-12 record through week one. With that said, I must take time to point out the games I wrongly prognosticated.

1.) Cal over Tennessee. WOW! The Vols made so many of us look as bad as the Golden Bears this weekend. Tennessee is feeling awfully peppy after an unforgettable beat-down.


2.) Colorado over Montana State. Dan Hawkins is trying to escape reality and go to his "happy place" right now. Most likely, that's Boise State.

3.) SMU over Texas Tech. Well that upset didn't come close to happening for me did it? Give head coach Mike Leach some credit, he can win. Unfortunately for the fans in Lubbock, I'm going against the Red Raiders again this week (nothing personal I SWEAR!).

4.) UNC over Rutgers. After the Scarlet Knights gave up a huge second half lead and lost to Illinois to open up the '05 season, I figured they didn't stand a chance on the road in ACC country. Kudos Greg Schiano, kudos.

5.) Nevada over Fresno State. The Bulldogs really played well against the defending WAC Champs - a team that beat them in '05. Unfortunately the (1 game) winning streak ends against Oregon.

6.) New Mexico over Portland State. Portland State? Portland State? It's gonna be a long season in Albuquerque.

7.) BYU over Arizona. This game was a toss-up for me. I thought QB John Beck was all the Cougars needed to beat the Wildcats. Arizona shut-down the BYU running game completely and didn't break in the secondary against the pass.

8.) Alcorn State over Louisiana-Monroe. The Warhawks have a reason to gripe at me. Picking a 1AA team to beat you in week one AT HOME is a bit of a slap in the face. Nothing personal, I swear. Keep that in mind when you see this week's pick against Kansas.

9.) Army over Arkansas State. What heppened Bobby Ross? You beat these guys 38-10 a year ago! I guess losing two four-year starters (QB Zac Dahman and RB Carlton Jones) was simply too much to overcome. Bad showing in week one.

10.) Western Michigan over Indiana. This pick was quite a stretch as well. But I have to call myself out - and Indiana got the job done.

11.) Eastern Kentucky over Cincinnati. This may be my biggest goof of the week. Cal over Tennessee by more than two touchdowns was bad - but the Bearcats beat this 1AA power 31-0!!! I'm sorry Mark Dantonio (Cincy head coach).

12.) Richmond over Duke. Basketball season starts in 2 months and 8 days Blue Devil fans.

So there you have my week one hiccups. Not too bad considering my winning percentage is good enough for the Hall of Fame - yet my overall record could still keep me on the hot seat in Ann Arbor.

Ready for week two? I'll give you predictions from the Big Ten, SEC, Big East, Conference USA, WAC, Sun Belt and my Lindenwood University - TODAY. On TUESDAY, the same will come your way from the Pac-Ten, ACC, Big 12, Mountain West, MAC and the Independants.

And, we're off!

BIG TEN CONFERENCE: I'm 10-1 in this league.

OHIO ST. - 28
Texas - 27

*It comes down to a Vince Young-esque performance from Troy Smith. While Colt McCoy gets shaken up a bit in this big-time brawl. The Buckeyes defense will make huge strides from week one and shut down the Longhorn wideouts. OSU will be down at the half and with 5 minutes to play, but Troy Smith will prove he's worthy of all the preseason hype.

Penn State - 17
NOTRE DAME - 31

*Are we beginning to notice a trend here? The Irish defense looked great against Georgia Tech and will force Penn St. QB Anthony Morelli into a few bad decisions. Charlie's offense wakes up a bit too - as the Irish finally pull away with 10 minutes left.

Central Michigan - 24
MICHIGAN - 27

*Don't be surprised if this one goes to overtime. Lloyd Carr's offense goes two straight weeks without eclipsing 200 yards passing despite having more talent than anyone else at the skill positions. Thankfully for fans of the Big Blue, Mike Hart saves the day...again.

Illinois - 14
RUTGERS - 31

*Despite the Illini's dismantling of in-state 1AA rival Eastern Illinois, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will show the importance of playing a COMPETITIVE SCHEDULE early on. Critics (like myself) better take notice of the "Jersey Boys."

Miami (OH) - 30
PURDUE - 42

*The Redhawks offense gets going against a terrible Boilermaker defense (gave up 35 points to Indiana State! A team that went 0-11 in 1AA last year!). Still, I like Joe Tiller's QB Curtis Painter. He's a great athlete that will continue putting points on the board this season in West Lafayette.

New Hampshire - 17
NORTHWESTERN - 20

*The Wildcats (N'Western that is...not New Hampshire) will get all they can handle against one of 1AA's top teams. Quarterback Ricky Santos will showcase his skills in the "other" Wildcats season opener. Watch this Santos kid, he could be NFL-good, down the road. Reminds me of Tony Romo, former Eastern Illinois QB - who backs up Drew Bledsoe in Dallas.

Eastern Michigan - 13
MICHIGAN STATE - 52

*John L. Smith needs a blowout here. Barely holding off Idaho in your home opener isn't the best way to "show-off" in front of your fans in East Lansing. Spartan QB Drew Stanton will run the ball even more against EMU to open up the passing game (he had 55 yards rushing in week one).

IOWA - 55
Syracuse - 10

*It's gonna get ugly in up-state New York!!! The Carrier Dome will be carrying Orange fans out crying after this laugher. Drew Tate takes a day off in this one. Why? Kirk Ferentz won't need him. RB Albert Young will do it all, rushing for over 200 yards on the ground.

Western Illinois - 21
WISCONSIN - 42

*The Leathernecks are a good 1AA football team and they'll be ready to play on Saturday. The problem for WIU will be stopping freshman RB P.J. Hill Jr. This kid looked great against Bowling Green (130 yds, 1 TD) and almost weighs as much (242 lbs.) as some of the Leatherneck offensive lineman.

Indiana - 35
BALL STATE - 38 (OT)

*You heard it here first! The Cardinals get their biggest win in decades over their in-state rival. Just think about the impact on recruiting this game will have! Oh, wait...have you ever been to Muncie? Never mind.

Minnesota - 45
CALIFORNIA - 55

*The Cal defense looked like a JV squad against Tennessee and won't be able to stop the Gophers freakish backfield of Alex Daniels and Amir Pinnix. Still, either Nate Longshore or Joseph Ayoob will get things going offensively for the Bears and once that happens - WATCH OUT! I'm not jumping off this bandwagon just yet.

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE: I'm 10-1 in this league.

Ole Miss - 20
MIZZOU - 35

*Strong win for head coach Gary Pinkel. The Tigers offense somehow looked better withOUT Brad Smith playing quarterback than with him behind center. It's time for fans in Columbia to move on - Chase Daniel is your huckleberry now. The sophomore quarterback completely outplays his counterpart, Brent Schaeffer. Ed Orgeron bursts a blood vessel screaming during this one.

AUBURN - 27
Miss. State - 3

*Sylvester Croom's "O" continues to struggle against a Tiger defense that made the Washington State Cougars offense look like an underdeveloped scout team. Kenny Irons matches his 183 yards on the ground from week one and becomes the early front-runner for the Heisman.

Vanderbilt - 7
ALABAMA - 13

*U-G-L-Y!!!! The Crimson Tide have problems with the Commodores solid defense. Kenneth Darby will be the only reason 'Bama stays undefeated.

UCF - 21
FLORIDA - 30

*This one has all the makings of a great upset, but the Gators simply have too many weapons. Expect the Golden Knights to have a late lead, only to watch freshman sensation Percy Harvin break their hearts on a long pass play, or reverse. Urban Meyer's blood pressure remains high when he looks at the post-game box score that reads another -12 yards rushing for Chris Leak.

Texas State - 16
KENTUCKY - 45

*Rich Brooks needs a break from looking for other jobs. This win will make him smile - for a couple seconds - until he remembers Ole Miss and Florida are next on his schedule.

Arizona - 20
LSU - 42

*No team looked better - in all of college football in week one than the LSU Tigers. JeMarcus Russell was perfect and he'll stay that way against a Wildcat defense that has improved vastly from '05.

Utah State - 10
ARKANSAS - 14

*Mitch Mustain will play and score the winning touchdown for the Hogs and Houston Nutt. For some reason, Mustain did NOT start week one? Houston...we have a problem.

Air Force - 28
TENNESSEE - 45

*The party continues in Knoxville! Erik Ainge reminds folks why he was so heralded coming out of high school with another perfectly excuted gameplan. The Vols get the win and better enjoy it, because the Gators are coming to town!

Georgia - 21
S. CAROLINA - 23

*This is an instant classic! Steve Spurrier's offense struggles once again - but his remarkable defense comes up with big play after big play to hold off the Bulldogs. Mark Richt realizes it's time to stick with one of his three quarterbacks after this loss.

BIG EAST CONFERENCE: I'm 6-2 in this league.

PITTSBURGH - 23
Cincinnati - 16

*The Bearcats lose a nail-biter to a PITT team that looks completely different from a year ago. Tyler Palko manages this game well and hooks up with freshman phenom wideout Oderick Turner once again for the go-ahead score.

Illinois - 14
RUTGERS - 31

*Despite the Illini's dismantling of in-state 1AA rival Eastern Illinois, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will show the importance of playing a COMPETITIVE SCHEDULE early on. Critics (like myself) better take notice of the "Jersey Boys."

IOWA - 55
Syracuse - 10

*It's gonna get ugly in up-state New York!!! The Carrier Dome will be carrying Orange fans out crying after this laugher. Drew Tate takes a day off in this one. Why? Kirk Ferentz won't need him. RB Albert Young will do it all, rushing for over 200 yards on the ground.

LOUISVILLE - 72
Temple - 10

*Michael Bush is injured - I know, that doesn't mean the Cardinals don't have enough fire power to make this one a joke to watch. Bobby Petrino uses Saturday as an oppurtunity to find out if either Kolby Smith, Anthony Allen or George Stripling want the starting RB position.

Eastern Washington - 0
WEST VIRGINIA - 55

*I gave EWU way too much credit last week against Oregon State. If the Eagles offense couldn't handle the Beavers defense - there's NO WAY they'll come close to staying competitve with West Virginia.

Florida International - 9
SOUTH FLORIDA - 31

*The Bulls have a legit future in the Big East with freshman quarterback Matt Grothe playing so well in his first two games. Expect the frosh to pass for 175 yards and rush for another 80 on Saturday.

CONFERENCE USA: I'm 9-1 in this league.

Tulsa - 28
BYU - 30

*I always hate to watch a great game come down to a field goal...but that's the case here. BYU's John Beck continues to play well and carries the Cougars offense into the win category with a perfectly executed late two-minute drill.

Hofstra - 6
MARSHALL - 30

*Despite the blowout last week to West Virginia, the Thundering Herd is an improving football program. RB Ahmad Bradshaw will have huge season in CUSA and QB Bernard Morris will get the job done this week and next week - OH WAIT!!! - Can't give any early upset picks just yet.

UCF - 21
FLORIDA - 30

*This one has all the makings of a great upset, but the Gators simply have too many weapons. Expect the Golden Knights to have a late lead, only to watch freshman sensation Percy Harvin break their hearts on a long pass play, or reverse. Urban Meyer's blood pressure remains high when he looks at the post-game box score that reads another -12 yards rushing for Chris Leak.

ECU - 19
UAB - 17

*The East Carolina Pirates bounce back from a heart-breaking loss to Navy with this last second roller-coaster ride. Skip Holtz has ECU going in the right direction while Watson Brown is left to pick up the pieces after a strong week one showing in Norman.

Tulane - 21
HOUSTON - 45

*The Cougars are back! After almost doing the unthinkable and losing to Rice, Kevin Kolb throws for over 350 yards in this easy victory. With Grambling State next, the Cougars should be 3-0 heading into their showdown with Oklahoma State - which is at home. If head coach Art Briles' bunch wins that one, Houston will be 4-0 going into Miami and a date with the Hurricanes.

SMU - 10
N. Texas - 9

*A battle of two teams that scored a combined 10 points in week one. The Mustangs really dropped the ball for me last week, I had SMU beating Texas Tech! Boy was I wrong, I've learned my lesson though, at least I hope so.

SE Louisiana - 20
SOUTHERN MISS. - 34

*The Golden Eagles were the pride and joy of CUSA for a good hour last week against Florida. Jeff Bower's guys return home this week and give the fans in Hattiesburg something to really cheer about. Expect over 150 yards rushing from freshman phenom Damion Fletcher.

Chattanooga - 21
MEMPHIS - 48

*The Tigers offense is just fine without D'Angelo Williams. Junior RB Joseph Doss looked great against Ole' Miss and QB Martin Hankins has a solid grasp of Tommy West's offense. Memphis needs this win, with a trip to East Carolina next week and Tennessee coming to town September 30th. An 0-4 start wouldn't sit well with Tiger fans in Elvis Land.

Rice - 27
UCLA - 51

*Major Applewhite's new offense keeps putting up points, but the Bruins continue to make a statement. What is that? This year's bunch is better than last seasons.

Texas Tech - 45
UTEP - 49

*Last week, Jordan Palmer didn't look Heismanesque - like I predicted all preseason long. Yet, he led the Miners down the field, late in the game - to preserve the victory. He's a winner. Despite picking against Texas Tech last week - I have to do it again...the Miners tear down the goal posts in El Paso!!!!!

WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE: I'm 7-1 in this league.

OREGON ST. - 31
Boise State - 24

*The Broncos weren't tested at all by Sacremento State in week one, now they face a OSU offense that looked like the best in the Pac-Ten. RB Yvenson Bernard is so good, freshman quarterback Sean Canfield doesn't have too much pressure on his shoulders. As long as he doesn't screw up, Bernard is blessing the Beavers with a 2-0 start.

IDAHO - 24
Wash. St. - 20

*The Cougars offense was completely shut down by Auburn. Now I know it's Auburn, but Idaho was able to contain Michigan State QB Drew Stanton pretty well and the Vandals have some momentum from East Lansing. Dennis Erickson looks like a genius in week two with this crucial road win.

STANFORD - 45
San Jose ST. - 28

*The absolute worst thing that could have happened to SJSU is Oregon blowing out Walt Harris' team. The Cardinal will show up and dominate from the opening kickoff.

Utah State - 10
ARKANSAS - 14

*Mitch Mustain will play and score the winning touchdown for the Hogs and Houston Nutt. For some reason, Mustain's efforts will NOT earn him the start in week three. Houston...we have a problem.

NEW MEXICO - 20
New Mexico St. - 17

*There NO WAY the Lobos lose this rivalry game after being made fun of for a WEEK STRAIGHT!!! Losing to Portland State could end up being a good thing after all. Wait...no, no, I'm sorry - losing to Portland State is NEVER a good thing.

Nevada - 38
ARIZONA ST. - 48

*Another shoot-out. Rudy Carpenter continues to flourish as the lone ASU signal-caller. Tough way for the Wolf Pack to open up the season, up next? A good Colorado State team and the emotional Wildcats of Northwestern.

OREGON - 58
Fresno St. - 55 (2 OT)

*Could be the best game of the season! The Ducks offense goes toe-to-toe with the FSU's hometown tenacity. Just when you think Oregon is about to lose this one, sophomore sensation RB Jonathan Stewart comes up big. This kid could be a Heisman hopeful as the year progresses.

SUN BELT CONFERENCE: I'm 5-2 in this league.

Troy - 3
FLORIDA ST. - 41

*After a grueling, hard fought battle with Miami - the 'Noles have a field day with this Sun Belter.

Middle Tenn. St. - 16
MARYLAND - 37

*Sam Hollenbach is off to a bad start, but that changes after beating the Blue Raiders depleted defense that returns just four starters from '05.

Florida International - 9
SOUTH FLORIDA - 31

*The Bulls have a legit future in the Big East with freshman quarterback Matt Grothe playing so well in his first two games. Expect the frosh to pass for 175 yards and rush for another 80 on Saturday.

La-Lafayette - 13
TEXAS A&M - 20

*Stephen McGee comes back down to earth after week one. I know the Ragin' Cajuns were blown out by LSU, but they have too much pride to get destroyed two weeks in a row. Expect Dennis Franchione to sweat through this non-conference struggle.

SMU - 10
N. Texas - 9

*A battle of two teams that scored a combined 10 points in week one. The Mustangs really dropped the ball for me last week, I had SMU beating Texas Tech! Boy was I wrong, I've learned my lesson though, at least I hope so.

La. Monroe - 14
KANSAS - 38

*I know I picked against Monroe last week to lose to Alcorn State, but it's not like they blew out their 1AA opponent. The Warhawks only led by seven at halftime! Kansas is becoming a solid Big 12 program and will improve to 2-0 with ease in Lawrence.

OKLAHOMA ST. - 28
Arkansas State - 19

*Like Monroe, I picked against Arkansas State last week. Oklahoma State isn't as good as Kansas, but they are a better football team right now. The Cowboys will be losing at halftime though, so watch out Mike Gundy.

Florida Atlantic - 10
KANSAS STATE - 18

*The worst 2-0 start in the history of college football if you ask me. The Wildcats beat ILLINOIS STATE by one last week. It doesn't get any prettier with FAU. Don't worry, Ron Prince will lose his first game next - WAIT...can't give away any secrets.

THE NAIA GAME OF THE WEEK: I'm 1-0 so far picking my old school.

Georgetown (KY) - 30
LINDENWOOD U. - 45

*I didn't pick the Lions first game of the season and they lost. I let my alma mater down. Last week, I nailed the Lions victory and this week I improve to 2-0. Lindenwood's offense exploded against Culver-Stockton and since the Georgetown Tigers haven't played a game yet - Patrick Ross's team is the heavy favorite to win this one in front of another large Harlen C. Hunter Stadium crowd.


Posted by Amsinger at 04:32 PM on September 04, 2006
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