No Fumbles in Week 5

By Amsinger - September 25, 2006

Six "Upset Specials" in my first blog dedicated to week 5 of college football. The other half features the biggest upset prediction of the season! Who do I have going down? Nebraska, Oregon, Texas, Clemson or USC? One of them will lose this weekend. Find out who and how - on "Off Prompter!"

I already hooked you up with my week 5 picks for the Big Ten, SEC, Big East, Conference USA, WAC, Sun Belt and my Lindenwood University. In THIS blog, the same will come your way from the Pac-Ten, ACC, Big 12, Mountain West, MAC and the Independents.

And, we're off!

PAC-TEN CONFERENCE: 4-1 last week, 22-9 overall in this league.

Oregon State - 35

*A classic Pac-Ten shootout. QB Nate Longshore doesn't cool off on the road. Throw in RB Marshawn Lynch and WR Desean Jackson and you have one of the best offensive trios in college football. Only Michigan's Henne/Hart/Manningham and Ohio State's Smith/Pittman/Ginn are better. That's right, I'd take Longshore/Lynch/Jackson over Quinn/Walker/McNight any day. Yvenson Bernard rushes for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns for the Beavers in a losing cause.

Stanford - 14
UCLA - 45

*The Cardinal may be the saddest story in all of college football. Where did this program go? Much needed blow-out for the Bruins who are still shocked they lost on the road to Washington (which I predicted by the way).

Arizona - 24

*One of the toughest calls of the weekend. Tyrone Willingham has his Huskies playing spirited football. Picking against a program with so much going for it doesn't make sense to me. Despite Arizona's strong performance against USC last week - and the fact the Wildcats are at home, has me second-guessing. Uh...I'm taking the hot-hand.

Arizona St. - 23

*The Sun Devils were exposed in Berkeley last week. QB Rudy Carpenter played like a freshman - not a super sophomore by chucking 4 picks. Expect ASU to give RB Ryan Torain even more touches. After rushing for almost 200 yards against Cal, he has more confidence than any other player on the Arizona State roster. Oregon QB Dennis Dixon had to wait two weeks to step on a field again after "the comeback" against Oklahoma. He's counting the minutes until kickoff in Tempe. The Ducks are on fire.

USC - 35


*WHOA!!! Here it is!!! I'm taking the same team I predicted would lose to STANFORD last week over the USC Trojans! But with Dwayne Jarrett expected to miss this game with a sprained shoulder and the Trojans offense still wondering what happened last week against Arizona, I think this is a case where a much lesser opponent wins a fluke. The Cougars are nowhere NEAR as talented as USC, but things like this happen. Martin Stadium in Pullman will be rocking since the Cougars enter the game with a three-game winning streak. Critics of this pick will point to week one when Auburn dismantled WSU 40-14. But if you ask me, if "this" USC team played Auburn right now, the Tigers would win 24-10. So it's not that much of a stretch.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE: 5-2 last week, 27-10 overall in this league.

Virginia - 7
DUKE - 9


*About 43 days until basketball season tips off in Durham against Colu- OH WAIT...Duke wins. Weird. Okay...just four months until lacrosse season in Charlottesville.

Maine - 16

*The Eagles will wipe away leftover tears from Raleigh and beat the snot out this good 1AA program. QB Matt Ryan throws for 375 yards and 5 touchdowns in Chestnut Hill.

Liberty - 0

*The Demon Deacons are 5-0!!! Where's the love for head coach Jim Grobe? He loses the ACC Player of the Year in RB Chris Barclay - and SOMEHOW - Wake Forest is even better! Deacon fans better enjoy this record - cuz Clemson is coming to town!!!

Virginia Tech - 20


*Chan Gailey's team is my pick to win the ACC and their run really starts with a huge upset in Hokie country. QB Reggie Ball fights through some serious hits from this incredible Virginia Tech defense to get the ball to WR Calvin Johnson for two touchdowns. The other comes in the 4th quarter and Reggie wins it on a scramble. Biggest win for the Jackets since they opened '05 with an upset of Auburn.

Houston - 14
MIAMI - 35

*Hey, the Cougars are 4-0. Miami is just 1-2 and was blown out by Louisville. I'm making this an "Upset Special" just for fun! Kevin Kolb's Heisman run comes to an end thanks to the Hurricanes revved up defense. Larry Coker has his guys ready to go and their intensity will overwhelm the untested Cougars. QB Kyle Wright adds to his whopping ONE touchdown pass on the season.

Louisiana Tech - 13

*The Tigers are ready to make a run at an ACC Championship! RB James Davis is on fire after 4 touchdowns last week. Add three more to his resume, cuz Death Valley is having fun Saturday night!

BIG 12 CONFERENCE: 9-2 last week, 37-10 overall in this league.

Texas A&M - 20

*Yeah, the Red Raiders will win by three touchdowns in College Station! After blowing out SE Louisiana 62-0, QB Graham Harrell has the TCU nightmare out of his head. Keep in mind, the Aggies BARELY got by Army - at home! Tech head coach Mike Leach makes this one look easy in front of a raucous crowd.

Northern Iowa - 7

*I've been hard on the Cyclones this season and for good reason. Without a blowout win after playing teams like Toledo and UNLV it's hard to get revved up over ISU. Still, I'm not bold enough to pick a 1AA rival in Ames.

Sam Houston St. - 0
TEXAS - 45

*I wonder if former Oklahoma quarterback Rhett Bomar will be watching his new team take on his old Red River Rival. SHSU could sure use a guy like Bomar in this massacre. RB Jamaal Charles touches the ball just 9 times and reaches the century mark on the ground. SNOOOOOZER!!!!

Kansas St. - 13


*After losing to Army in overtime, the Bears need this win for head coach Guy Morris and his weekly coaches show. Seriously, each week Morris talks about how they "should have" won the game...and he's right. Baylor played TCU tough in week one (17-7) and lost to Washington State by just two. If the ball bounced Baylor's way a few more times, the Bears could be 4-0 going into this game. Instead, Kansas State is the team walking in feeling saucy, but leaves feeling stale.

Colorado - 17

*Gary Pinkel went from hot-seat to hot-name for a bigger head coaching gig. Okay, that may be a stretch - but 5-0 "Post-Brad Smith" isn't bad. Looking at his roster, the Tigers have more offensive talent than any team in the Big 12 North and could send the Cornhuskers into second place in the division on December 4th in Lincoln. As for the Buffaloes, your win is coming. Details later.

Kansas - 10

*The Huskers pile on the points in the first half, then lose the killer instinct against the Jayhawks. I like the mentality of KU's team, very physical and won't back down to anyone. Last week's win at home over USF impressed me. Unfortunately it won't be enough against a Nebraska offense that can look dominant and disgusting - all in the same game.

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE: 1-3 last week, 20-8 overall in this league.

BYU - 17
TCU - 28

*The Horned Frogs stellar defense slows down a Cougar offense that is having issues at quarterback with starter John Beck dealing with injuries. JASON Beck filled in nicely against lowly Utah State - but Utah State is NOT TCU. The Froggies are now in position to be the BCS Buster with Boise State losing to Utah (according to me).

UNLV - 28

*The Wolf Pack win their third straight against a Rebels team that had so much promise after week two. UNLV lost at Iowa State by just six, but was destroyed in Hawaii 42-13. QB Rocky Hinds hasn't had the opportunity to shine in his first season as the Rebels starter. With four starters back on the offensive line, just two touchdown passes this season as a team, is a big disappointment.

Boise State - 24
UTAH - 27

*The fans in Salt Lake win this game. The Utes have bounced back in such a big way after losing to UCLA on the road to open the season. Since getting blasted by the Bruins, Utah has outscored Northern Arizona, Utah State and San Diego State a combined 131-14. Boise State's BCS busting bid is all but over.

San Jose State - 23

*FINALLY!!! Literally, the only reason I'm going with the Aztecs is because the Spartans beat Stanford by just one point earlier this season. Any team that has issues with the lowly Cardinal...has issues. Chuck Long wins his first game...finally.

Colorado St. - 20

*Beating the Bulldogs at their place isn't easy. Oregon had to play a nearly perfect ballgame to get past FSU 31-24. After losing to the Washington Huskies, head coach Pat Hill will have his troops ready for a solid Colorado State team.

Syracuse - 30

*Last second field goal decides this one! The Cowboys win a much needed game for head coach Joe Glenn who was feeling down on his team after three competitive losses to Virginia, Boise State and Air Force. As for Greg Robinson, sorry - I don't think this Orange team has turned over a new peel after beating Illinois and Miami (OH)...a combined 1-7.

New Mexico - 16

*I was burned last week picking against the Falcons. This game is their home opener. I know the Lobos looked good against UTEP...a solid CUSA team. But the Falcons lost by ONE POINT to Tennessee in Knoxville, then beat Wyoming at their place. Fisher DeBerry's team feels good about itself and that vibe will carry over to week six against Navy.

METRO-ATLANTIC CONFERENCE: 7-3 last week, 26-13 overall in this league.

Toledo - 17
PITT - 38

*The Panthers loss to Michigan State looks much better after the Spartans "almost-but-should-have" beaten Notre Dame last week. QB Tyler Palko is drawing a few NFL eyes with his impressive stats so far this season. 12 touchdown passes in four games? Expect that pace to continue against a below-average Toledo defense.

Miami (OH) - 14

*Playing top-notch competition like Ohio State and Virginia Tech in consecutive weeks and NOT getting destroyed impressed me. Head coach Mark Dantonio is turning things around for the Bearcats. Akron better watch out next week! The Redhawks are off to an unimaginable 0-5 start.

Eastern Michigan - 17

*I know I picked EMU to beat rival Central Michigan last week and the Cajuns aren't as good as the Chippewas, but they're also not a rival. EMU falls back to their old road ways - which equals turnovers, poor defense and more importantly - losses. Expect another big game from Lafayette's sophomore stud RB Tyrell Fenroy.

AKRON - 30
Kent St. - 17

*The Zips needed a strong showing at home against North Texas and they got it. Especially from quarterback Luke Getsy who was razor-sharp, with 3 touchdown passes and zero picks. Kent State expects to win this home game after going on the road and making Bowling Green look silly. Expect the Zips to win the turnover battle - hence the game.

Kentucky - 21

*The nail in the coffin arrives in Lexington for head coach Rich Brooks. The Chippewas are having a good season if you take into account their win over Akron - one week after the Zips upset N.C. State, last week's overtime victory over rival EMU and losing by only seven against Boston College to open the season. Oh yeah, their other loss came in Ann Arbor. CMU lost by 24 to Michigan. Notre Dame lost by home!

Bowling Green - 3
OHIO - 20

*Frank Solich wasn't happy with his teams offensive output last week against Missouri. Saturday, his Bobcats get it done against one of this seasons biggest disappointments - the Bowling Green Falcons. Head coach Gregg Brandon may need to can a few coordinators before the season's over to ensure his job security. May I remind you, the Falcons only wins are squeekers against Buffalo and Florida International...a combined 1-7 (and Buffalo's lone win was against Temple!!!).

Ball State - 24

*Garrett Wolfe for Heisman! Why not? Cuz his team isn't playing for a title? So what? It's an individual award - right? How many yards do you have to average per game to be taken seriously? Since 207 yards doesn't work, how about 214? The Wolfe-man is taking his game up a notch against the lowly Cardinals in Muncie. Garrett the great strikes again.

INDEPENDENTS: 2-2 last week, 11-5 picking the Independents.

Purdue - 28

*The Boilermakers are a dangerous team if they don't make mistakes. They simply don't have the defensive talent to overcome miscues by the offense. Last week, the Boilers didn't turn the ball over once and beat a team better than them. There is NO WAY the Irish lose this one after what happened in East Lansing. South Bend is rocking all over again thanks to that incredible comeback. The Irish put away Purdue in the second half and get ready for a light scrimmage next week against Stanford.

NAVY - 24
UConn - 14

*Paul Johnson doesn't need an extra point in overtime to beat the Huskies, despite UConn playing at home - with plenty of momentum after beating Indiana in Bloomington last week. The Midshipmen should be 4-0 heading to Storrs, since they lost a game they should have won, Navy comes out and sets the tone early.

RICE - 29
Army - 21

*Take note! An upset special and Army LOSES!!! Oddly enough, this is a compliment for Bobby Ross. The Rice Owls couldn't have played a better schedule. Houston (4-0), UCLA (2-1), Texas (3-1) and Florida State (3-1) is brutal. means the Black Knights will look like a J.V. squad in comparison on Saturday. What a fun game between two programs on the up-and-up.

Temple - 0
VANDY - 35

*The Commodores win the Temple sweepstakes and enjoy a lovely evening in Nashville. Bobby Johnson's defense continues to play well as QB Chris Nickson proves he is the future of the program offensively. Nickson gets the job done in the air and the ground as the Commodores improve to 2-3.

There you have 'em. My week 5 picks. ALL OF THEM!!!! Again, if you think I missed a few CONFERENCES!!! - The other half is in my previous blog. Just making sure you know. Nothing but love from Mr. Off Prompter.

Posted by Amsinger at 09:44 PM on September 25, 2006

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