Off Prompter's Week 4 Domination

By Amsinger - September 18, 2006


As I continue to peel off the profanity from my previous week three blog (thank you Michigan fans), I get ready to improve my record even more. After a strong opening week start (61-12), I slipped a bit in week two (46-18), but made positive strides last week with a 47-15 prognosticating record.

Overall I'm 154-45.

Figured I'd give that record a line to itself. It looks even better that way.

Here's what I screwed up last week.

1.) Notre Dame over Michigan. Not only did I say the Irish would win, I said the Wolverines would lose 45-13!!! Lloyd Carr did a good job of not "showing his hand" in the previous two games, because the Michigan team that kicked the snot out of Notre Dame last week was a completely different football team. Fans of the Big Blue have smashed, smeared, swore and spit on this blog. They deserve to, I was way off.

2.) Pitt over Michigan State. I go against the Wolverines, then the Spartans! For some reason, I got caught up in the momentum Charlie Weiss and Dave Wannstedt had coming into their respective home games. Both Michigan teams made me look silly. Great day for the Big Ten. Well, if you don't count Indiana losing to 1AA Southern Illinois (which I predicted by the way!!!!!)

3.) Virginia over Western Michigan. I said it would be close. I never expected Al Groh's' bunch to lose at home after BARELY beating Wyoming the week before in Charlottesville. Uh, that is another Michigan team I said would lose. Damn.

4.) Akron over Central Michigan. Okay! Okay! Okay! I must have some subconscious hatred for the state of Michigan! NONE OF YOU CAN DRIVE!!!! Seriously, have you ever driven a car in the state before? It's ridiculous! - Anyway, picking against these FOUR Michigan teams has nothing to do with cars - pure coincidence. Who expected the Zips to come out flat after beating N.C. State?

5.) Nebraska over USC. I really expected the Cornhuskers defense to make a dent. Instead, John David Booty proved he's not a bad replacement for Matt Leinart.

6.) Texas Tech over TCU. Who in their right mind expected this to be a field goal battle? Texas Tech's offense was completely shut down by Gary Patterson's defense. The Horned Frogs are still battling the Boise State Broncos as this year's BCS Buster. As for Texas Tech - I HATE picking their games. I'm 0-3 this season when it comes to Red Raider games.

7.) Fresno State over Washington. Nice win for Tyrone Willingham. It's really too bad the Bulldogs cost me a pick because of a MISSED EXTRA POINT!

8.) Mississippi State over Tulane. Hey, Sylvester Croom's team finally scored - that's worth celebrating. This game proves how bad things really are in Starkville.

9.) UCF over South Florida. What a football game! I thought the Golden Knights were going to pull off the comeback, but the Bulls stay undefeated instead. USF could go 4-0 after this week heading into Big East play.

10.) UConn over Wake Forest. Here's another home team upset pick that didn't pan out. The Huskies hung around for quite awhile until the Demon Deacons physically wore them out in the fourth quarter.

11.) Sam Houston St. over SMU. I've yet to get a SMU game right! Can I skip the Mustangs this week? No? Fine. The problem with Phil Bennett's team is they're BI-POLAR!!! You have no idea what to expect from them week-to-week. Seriously, if the Mustangs played Temple this Saturday - I'd be freaking out over the pick. They could lose by 14 or win by 50.

12.) Memphis over ECU. This pick looked great at halftime. Then, the Pirates finally woke up this season. ECU outscored the Tigers 28-0 in the second half. Skip Holtz's team is another tough team to pick. I'm 1-2 picking ECU games this season.

13.) Marshall over Kansas State. The Wildcats had a tough time with the Thundering Herd but eventually pulled off an ugly 23-7 win. Strong defensive effort from Ron Prince's team. They'll need even more "D" this week as the battered Louisville Cardinals come to town.

14.) Florida International over Bowling Green. I was so close! The Golden Flashes gave it all they had but the Falcons barely pulled off the road win. Could Bowling Green head coach Gregg Brandon ask for an uglier way to go 2-1? Barely beating Buffalo AND Florida International!

15.) Miami (OH) over Kent State. My goodness, it's abundantly clear these two are the bottom of the barrel in the MAC. Eastern Michigan (0-3) and Buffalo (1-2) have looked better than these two.

Well, there you have my 15 goofs from week three. I've gotta feeling in my bad knee that my loss column will sport a single digit number this week. As always, this blog will consist of my predictions from the Big Ten, SEC, Big East, Conference USA, WAC, Sun Belt and my Lindenwood University. On TUESDAY, the same will come your way from the Pac-Ten, ACC, Big 12, Mountain West, MAC and the Independents.

And, we're off!

BIG TEN CONFERERNCE: 9-2 last week, 28-5 overall in this league.

Penn State - 17
OHIO STATE - 30

*The Buckeyes can make the "big play" and the Nittany Lions haven't been able to all season without Michael Robinson at quarterback. Anthony Morelli hasn't played poorly - but he's not taking anyone's breath away either. As for Ohio State - Troy Smith, Ted Ginn Jr., Antonio Pittman and Anthony Gonzalez are ALL taking fans breath away in Columbus. Completely different vibe for this year's game than last year. Expect OSU to be up 30-7 in the fourth quarter.

NOTRE DAME - 34
Michigan State - 24

*The Spartans will push the Irish to the brink, but Brady Quinn will not let his team lose to both Michigan AND Michigan State in consecutive weeks. The Irish are out of the top ten and Quinn's dream of a Heisman is all but over, but Charlie Weiss is still a great coach. Notre Dame is ready for the criticism and more importantly, ready for Drew Stanton's Spartans.

Wisconsin - 10
MICHIGAN - 24

*Don't think the Wolverines offense is going to score 47 points every week! The Badgers can play defense and will hold Chad Henne in check (what's new?). The reason Michigan is a legitimate national title contender is their consistent ground game. Mike Hart is now a Heisman hopeful. He rushes for another 150 in this typical Big Ten slug-fest.

MINNESOTA - 49
Purdue - 21

*The days of playing Indiana State, Miami (OH) and Ball State are over for Joe Tiller. Here's the problem. Purdue's defense is giving up an average of 31 points per game to those three opponents!!! Minnesota's backfield of Alex Daniels and Amir Pinnix will tear up the turf in West Lafayette.

Northwestern - 20
NEVADA - 34

*I was really high on the Wildcats in the preseason. But the untimely loss of their beloved head coach Randy Walker really messed this team up. Who can blame them? Tyrell Sutton is still running the football well, but Northwestern is so one-dimensional with their quarterback situation being a mess. Two freshman are trying to replace Brett Basanez and neither are doing the job. Nevada is fresh off a big win over Colorado State and will celebrate another home win.

IOWA - 35
Illinois - 14

*The situation in Champaign is really, really, REALLY bad right now. The Hawkeyes, on the other hand, have some serious momentum after winning a thriller without Drew Tate in Syracuse and holding off a solid Iowa State team last week. If I was Lloyd Carr and Jim Tressel - I wouldn't write off the Hawkeyes yet.

UCONN - 24
Indiana - 23

*I'm not even calling this an "Upset Special" - because it's not. The Huskies hung tough with an undefeated Wake Forest team last week and Indiana lost at home to SOUTHERN ILLINOIS!!! Let me still point out, the Hoosiers are without their head coach Terry Hoeppner, who had to have a tumor removed. We wish him the best.

SOUTHEAST CONFERENCE: 7-1 last week, 25-3 overall in this league.

ALABAMA - 17
Arkansas - 16

*The best game of the day! Mike Shula has just enough to get past Houston Nutt's Hogs. RB Kenneth Darby finally busts out in Fayetteville. On the other hand, Arkansas freshman quarterback Mitch Mustain will grow up a lot after being sacked 7 times!!!! The Crimson Tide defense will create the big turnover when 'Bama needs it most and Leigh Tiffin wins the game with his leg.

Colorado - 7
GEORGIA - 24

*Again, the Dawgs don't need to be flashy, just steady. With a dominant defense like they have, freshman quarterback Matthew Stafford wins with another 7-14, 115 yard performance. Mark Richt's three-headed monster in the backfield combines for 200 yards while Dan Hawkins spends more time text-messaging recruits than worrying about this game...he figures the season is a lost cause.

Buffalo - 0
AUBURN - 42

*This game is dedicated to the Heisman campaign of Kenny Irons. After not rushing for at least 70 yards in the previous two weeks, Tommy Tuberville hooks up his boy 35 times for 230 yards and three touchdowns. The Bulls better get ready to see a lot of #23.

Kentucky - 21
FLORIDA - 42

*The Gator defense gives up two early scores and everyone is worried. But don't fret, Chris Leak is playing better than ever and he rattles off 35 unanswered points in this blowout win. Get ready Rich Brooks, your Wildcats have to win the next two weeks (C. Michigan and S. Carolina) at home if you want that bowl game that will save your job.

Marshall - 10
TENNESSEE - 38

*Vols take care of business against a Thundering Herd crew that is having problems scoring points. Expect Phillip Fulmer to focus on the ground game in this one after being held to just TWO YARDS as a team against Florida last week.

Wake Forest - 10
OLE MISS - 17

UPSET SPECIAL #1

*Sure the Demon Deacons are 3-0 but who did they play? They barely beat Syracuse, DUKE and UConn. The Rebels are due and will give the folks in Oxford something to cheer about. Expect about 125 yards and 2 touchdowns from RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis.

Miss. State. - 10
UAB - 20

*Like I mentioned earlier, it couldn't get much worse for Sylvester Croom. He may be a great coach, but his team stinks.

Tennessee St. - 3
VANDERBILT - 24

*The Commodores are the best 0-3 team in college football. After giving their all against Michigan, Alabama and Arkansas - Vandy finally gets a win. For the first time this season, the Commodores ground game averages more than three yards per carry and head coach Bobby Johnson looks forward to...ready? - TEMPLE next week!!!!!

Florida Atlantic - 13
S. CAROLINA - 31

*Steve Spurrier's offense has issues!!! What's the deal? Blake Mitchell will be back, but will that really help matters? The Gamecocks devote this game to their running backs. Cory Boyd and Syvelle Newton have big games for Spurrier as he begins to re-think his offense due to his lack of talent.

Tulane - 6
LSU - 42

*If you're a fan of the Green Wave, you wanted LSU to beat Auburn last week. Now, the Bayou Bengals are pissed! JeMarcus Russell gets the offense back on track in this halftime laugher.

BIG EAST CONFERENCE: 5-3 last week, 17-5 overall in this league.

LOUISVILLE - 31
Kansas State - 14

*We may be looking at the national coach of the year in Bobby Petrino. To lose his Heisman contending running back AND quarterback and still find a way to beat teams like Miami and Kansas State is impressive. With his upcoming schedule featuring KSU, Middle Tennesse, Cincinnati and Syracuse - Petrino should stay undefeated leading up to November 2nd when he faces West Virginia. Guess who should be healthy by then? Don't think Brian Brohm isn't thinking that. As for the game, George Stripling and Kolby Smith dominate between the tackles. They combine for 215 yards while freshman quarterback Hunter Cantwell manages the game well and begins the early competition with high school senior Matt Simms as the Cards starter post-Brohm.

Cincinnati - 9
VA TECH - 27

*Sure, the Bearcats played the nation's top team tough. But the Hokies are not an in-state rival. They're an ACC team that isn't getting their fair share of credit and will be dissapointed that they didn't shut-out Cincy. Frank Beamer's team is for real.

Citadel - 14
PITT - 23

*Don't expect this to be pretty. The Panthers are a program in limbo. They don't know if they want to take that major step into big-time BCS contention or be a mid-level Big East team. Tyler Palko gets back on track after chucking two picks last week and the Panther defense - which played well before last week - will return to form against a bad Bulldog team.

Howard - 10
RUTGERS - 52

*Ray Rice for Heisman! Hahahaha. Well, playing the Howard Bison isn't exactly Heisman-caliber competition. Rice runs for another 200 yards in three quarters as the Scarlet Knights continue their march to respectibility. West Virginia and Louisville are beginning to take note. This is another good Big East program.

W. VIRGINIA - 49
East Carolina - 14

*This isn't a slap in Skip Holtz's face, it's just a testament to how good the Mountaineers are this year. Imagine when all this success carries over to the recruiting trail? Blue-chip recruits (not named Jason Gwaltney) at every position, running this offense??? Rich Rodriguez may be on the ground floor of legend status.

S. FLORIDA - 28
Kansas - 27

*The Bulls showed me a lot last week in Orlando. They came out and played one of the more physical games I've seen all season and held off a pretty good UCF club. The Jayhawks are fresh off a road loss to Toledo where they squandered a late lead and lost in overtime. Freshman USF quarterback Matt Grothe could be the Big East's next star. Watch this kid...he's good!

Miami (OH) - 21
SYRACUSE - 23

*Two in a row for the Orange! Greg Robinson celebrates his first winning streak in up-state New York after the Redhawks fall to a depressing 0-4. Head coach Shane Montgomery simply couldn't find a replacement for graduated quarterback Josh Betts. This program should be 0-6 before they travel to Buffalo. With the Bulls improving, that's not a given either.

UCONN - 24
Indiana - 23

*I'm not even calling this an "Upset Special" - because it's not. The Huskies hung tough with an undefeated Wake Forest team last week and Indiana lost at home to SOUTHERN ILLINOIS!!! Let me still point out, the Hoosiers are without their head coach Terry Hoeppner, who had to have a tumor removed. We wish him the best.

CONFERENCE USA: 5-5 last week, 21-9 overall in this league.

Tulsa - 27
NAVY - 31

*The Midshipmen are on fire! After stomping the life out of the Stanford Cardinal - on the road - last week, the Mids return to Annapolis and get all they can handle from a good Tulsa team. Head coach Paul Johnson has a proven star in junior fullback Adam Ballard. Expect this 230 pound bruiser to rush for 120 yards while QB Brian Hampton keeps turnovers to a minimum. The Academy better keep Johnson away from the phone, because bigger programs will be calling for his services after this season. Catch this exciting game on CSTV at 1:30 pm eastern.

Rice - 10
FLORIDA ST. - 41

*Finally! The Seminoles offense puts points on the board! Bobby Bowden challenges his offensive line to maul the smaller Owls and FINALLY there are holes to run through for Lorenzo Booker and Antone Smith!!! Drew Weatherford doesn't put up extraordinary numbers, but it's enough for FSU to improve to 3-1.

UTEP - 35
New Mexico - 17

*Mike Price had a week to get his guys past that heart-breaking loss to Texas Tech. The Miners show up in Albuquerque and dominate from the opening kickoff. No more tipped interceptions for Jordan Palmer in this one. Check this game out as well on CSTV Football Nation, Saturday at 5 pm eastern.

Oklahoma St. - 24
HOUSTON - 30

*Sure the Cowboys are in the Big 12 and they're one of four undefeated teams left in the conference but they haven't played ANYONE! Missouri State, Arkansas State and FAU don't have a quarterback like Kevin Kolb at Houston. The irony here is that the Cougars defense will win the game as they hold off a late comeback from the Cowboys inside the redzone. This one is going down to the wire and you catch it on CSTV Football Nation at 9 pm eastern.

Arkansas St. - 13
SMU - 24

*Keep in mind, the Indians upset Army. Well, that's not that big of a deal is it? I picked against the Mustangs last week and was burned. I won't do that this week against this Sun Belter.

W. VIRGINIA - 49
East Carolina - 14

*This isn't a slap in Skip Holtz's face, it's just a testament to how good the Mountaineers are this year. Imagine when all this success carries over to the recruiting trail? Blue-chip recruits (not named Jason Gwaltney) at every position, running this offense??? Rich Rodriguez may be on the ground floor of legend status.

Tulane - 6
LSU - 42

*If you're a fan of the Green Waves, you wanted LSU to beat Auburn last week. Now, the Bayou Bengals are pissed! JeMarcus Russell gets the offense back on track in this halftime laugher.

Miss. State. - 10
UAB - 20

*Like I mentioned earlier, it couldn't get much worse for Sylvester Croom. He may be a great coach, but his team stinks.

Marshall - 10
TENNESSEE - 38

*Vols take care of busines against a Thundering Herd crew that is having problems scoring points. Expect Phillip Fulmer to focus on the ground game in this one after being held to just TWO YARDS as a team against Florida last week.

WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE: 7-1 last week, 18-5 overall in this league.

Hawaii - 28
BOISE ST. - 45

*Good luck beating the Broncos on the Smurf Turf. RB Ian Johnson could be this year's Alex Smith. Think about it, the star player from an undefeated BCS Buster that has such incredible stats, he's invited to NYC for the Heisman Trophy presentation. Lofty expectations? You're right. He's just a sophomore and Boise State hasn't played a top-notch team yet. Still, expect Johnson to rush for 180 yards and three touchdowns on Saturday.

Idaho - 17
OREGON ST. - 38

*The Beavers are still recovering from getting abused in Boise two weeks ago. OSU faces its' old coach in Dennis Erickson and are thankful he doesn't have a running back like Ian Johnson. RB Yvenson Bernard gets back on track against the Vandals as Mike Riley's team improves to 2-1 and gets ready for Cal.

Utah St. - 9
BYU - 45

*The Aggies are the poorest team in the WAC. Coming into Saturday's game with the Cougars, they've scored a combined SEVEN points!!! Keep in mind 1AA teams could do better against teams like Wyoming, Arkansas and Utah. As for BYU, the Cougars are one of the best 1-2 teams in the country - better than Miami in my opinion. Expect over 400 yards in the air from John Beck as BYU bounces back from last week's heart-breaker.

Cal Poly - 6
SAN JOSE ST. - 30

*The Spartans well balanced attack hands the Mustangs their first loss of the season. Watch out for junior RB Yonus Davis - who rushed for over 180 yards against Stanford two weeks ago. SJSU hasn't played a game since, so Davis is itchin' to put the pads on again!!!

Louisiana Tech - 13
TEXAS A&M - 27

*Dennis Franchione is still in shock his team almost lost to ARMY at HOME!!!! As for the Bulldogs, La Tech begins a brutal three game road trip with Texas A&M, Clemson and Boise State on the horizon. The Aggies could be their upset special. Go ahead Coach Bicknell, prove me wrong!

Northwestern - 20
NEVADA - 34

*I was really high on the Wildcats in the preseason. But the untimely loss of their beloved head coach Randy Walker really messed this team up. Who can blame them? Tyrell Sutton is still running the football well, but Northwestern is so one-dimensional with their quarterback situation being a mess. Two freshman are trying to replace Brett Basanez and neither are doing the job. Nevada is fresh off a big win over Colorado State and will celebrate another home win.

SUN BELT CONFERENCE: 5-1 last week, 17-4 overall in this league.

N. Texas - 21
AKRON - 24

*It's really too bad the Zips lost last week. What a downer! After beating an ACC team on the road they lay an egg against Central Michigan. QB Luke Getsy bounces back after throwing three interceptions last week and gets the Zips ready for a strong MAC run.

North Carolina A&T - 3
LA.-LAFAYETTE - 44

*The Rajun Cajuns take out their frustrations in a big way! After getting slammed by LSU and Texas A&M on the road they're at home and can't wait to host this bad MEAC program. Expect a HUGE game from RB Tyrell Fenroy - who's one of the top players in the Sun Belt.

Florida International - 10
MARYLAND - 34

*Once again, we're all waiting for Ralph Friedgen's genius offensive brain to come out with the Terps. By looking at the scoreboard - one would think he's up to his old tricks. But watch this team play and you'll see that nothing flows. Eventually Ralph will realize his best player is Lance Ball and he'll stop splitting carries with Ray Lewis' brother Keon Lattimore.

Troy - 14
NEBRASKA - 27

*I expect a close game in Lincoln!!!! The Trojans have enough talent to scare the big boys, just not enough to actually beat them. Bill Callahan better get his team back on track if they want to be known as the best team in the Big 12 North this year. Watch out for Missouri, the Tigers are looking very good early on.

M. Tenn. St. - 16
OKLAHOMA - 45

*Back in Norman after a disasterous fourth quarter in Eugene, Oregon. We all know Adrian Peterson is great, unfortunately for Sooner fans who love to blast me on this blog, that's all Bob Stoops has to hang his visor on. Paul Thompson plays much better against the lowly Blue Raiders as OU takes a week off to get ready for TEXAS!!!!

Arkansas St. - 13
SMU - 24

*Keep in mind, the Indians upset Army. Well, that's not that big of a deal is it? I picked against the Mustangs last week and was burned. I won't do that this week against this Sun Belter.

Florida Atlantic - 13
S. CAROLINA - 31

*Steve Spurrier's offense has issues!!! What's the deal? Blake Mitchell will be back, but will that really help matters? The Gamecocks devote this game to their running backs. Cory Boyd and Syvelle Newton have big games for Spurrier as he begins to re-think his offense due to his lack of talent.

NAIA GAME OF THE WEEK: 0-1 last week, 1-2 overall with my Alma Mater.

GRACELAND U. - 35
Lindenwood U. - 31

*The Lions burned me last week. Wait, they burned me the week before too! That's it! When crunching the numbers it's obvious, Graceland has the upper hand in this battle. The Yellowjackets are a perfect 3-0 and have the Heart of America Athletic Conference Player of the Week in QB Clayton Braddock. The Lions offense was terrible last week on the road and while they'll get their barings this week at home, the defense falls flat once again. Oh, how I wish the Lions still had two-way superstar De-De Dorsey - who's now a backup running back for the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS!!!! - Yippee...who cares...right.

Posted by Amsinger at 01:11 PM on September 18, 2006
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