Round Two of Week 3

By Amsinger - September 12, 2006


In Monday's blog I gave you my week three predictions from the Big Ten, SEC, Big East, Conference USA, WAC, Sun Belt and my Lindenwood University. Here you have my top-notch picks from the Pac-Ten, ACC, Big 12, Mountain West, MAC and the Independents.

And, we're off!

PAC TEN CONFERENCE: 5-4 last week, 12-6 overall in this league.

Oklahoma - 21
OREGON - 31

UPSET SPECIAL #6

According to the AP Poll this is technically an "upset" - but to me? No way. The Quack Attack is back thanks to incredible defense from the Ducks secondary. In their first two games this season, defensive coordinator Nick Aliotti's unit held Stanford's pass heavy attack to just 224 yards and Fresno State to just 150 yards in the air. Oregon will force OU to become one dimensional - therefore Adrian Peterson's stats will look great, but QB Paul Thompson's lack of pure quarterback talent will be exposed.

Baylor - 24
WASH. ST. - 41

*QB Alex Brink looked fantastic against Idaho and helped prove me wrong last week. With the Cougars at home for a second straight week, I expect Bill Doba's club to come out and showcase how much talent really belongs in Pullman, Washington right now. As for Baylor, I loved the way they played against TCU in week one, but that was at home. Playing a Pac-Ten team on the road will teach the Bears a thing or two.

Portland State - 10
CALIFORNIA - 51

*Sure the Vikings beat New Mexico and are currently 2-0, but Cal is fresh off their "See! We are good!" party they held in Berkeley last week. Therefore, the momentum is simply too much and QB Nate Longshore plays another perfect game for Jeff Tedford. Marshawn Lynch rushes for 120 in limited action as he keeps his Heisman hopes alive despite losing to Tennessee.

FRESNO STATE - 35
Washington - 20

*Last week I had the Huskies upsetting Oklahoma at home. Bad move. This week, I expect the Bulldogs to rebound from a tough home loss to Oregon with a strong showing against Ty Willingham's team. The final score will look much closer than the game really is.

ARIZONA ST. - 27
Colorado - 17

*Dan Hawkins can't seem to find a break. His Buffs look much better this week than they did against Colorado State but QB Rudy Carpenter continues to flourish for ASU. The Sun Devils pull out the narrow victory and get ready for a brutal three game set - Cal, Oregon and USC. Dan Hawkins will go home and watch a rerun of Boise State vs. Wyoming.

NEBRASKA - 38
USC - 35

UPSET SPECIAL #7

*Believe it or not, the Cornhuskers defense will actually win this game! After handling Nebraska's intense pass rush all night, John David Booty is forced into making a critical turnover late in the game which leads to the Husker's game-winning field goal. Bill Callahan earns his first big-time victory on a national stage with Nebraska and gets set to compete for a BCS game.

Stephen F. Austin - 6
ARIZONA - 24

*Mike Stoops and his brother Mark Stoops, have built a solid defense in Tuscon, despite giving up over 40 points to LSU last week. The Wildcats lick their wounds against SFAU and get ready for their biggest test of the season in Southern Cal.

NAVY - 48
Stanford - 45 (OT)

*Another tough loss to swallow for head coach Walt Harris. The Cardinal offense finally gets going at the same time the defensive line falls apart. Expect a huge game from RB Reggie Campbell who runs in the game-winning touchdown in OT to send the Stanford faithful home screaming. Paul Johnson celebrates a 3-0 record and heads home to get ready for Tulsa next week (on CSTV at 1ET by the way).

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE: 5-4 last week, 14-6 overall in this league.

Maryland - 16
W. VIRGINIA - 31

*Pat White continues to just "manage" the game. Steve Slaton is the Heisman contender on this Mountaineer team and the sophomore tailback makes Rich Rodriguez's smile get even bigger with another 200+ rushing performance against the Terps. QB Sam Hollenbach will make a few nice throws in the first half to keep this close, but expect Slaton to make Maryland look silly in the second half.

Miami - 21
LOUISVILLE - 27

*A last second drive wins the game in Kentucky for the Cardinals! QB Brian Brohm shows his NFL caliber-potential against a defense that may have five or six future pros. RB George Stripling gets the majority of the Cardinal carries and doesn't muster much. Expect 65 yards on the ground from Stripling, but don't think it's because he isn't an adequate replacement for Michael Bush. He's facing the MIAMI DEFENSE!!! Huge win for Bobby Petrino and even sweeter revenge for the Big East...a conference that was dumped by Miami a few years ago.

Brigham Young - 34
BOSTON COLLEGE - 42

*Another classic in Chestnut Hill!!!! If you love great quarterback play, watch this game! Matt Ryan and BYU's John Beck put on a clinic and neither defense stands a chance. The difference in this one will be the momentum the Eagles get off their loyal fans. Picking against BC in Chestnut Hill didn't work out for me last week - and I won't make the same mistake twice.

Duke - 0
VA. TECH - 34

*Steve Spurrier is a coaching legend for the sole reason he won football games while head coach of the Blue Devils.

Wake Forest - 17
UCONN - 20

*If you want to watch a pretty exciting finish in week three, may I suggest you drive up to Storrs. The Huskies beating an ACC team??? You bet! RB Terry Caulley is a phenom for UConn and he'll help control the clock and keep the Huskies defense off the field. Wake Forest had problems beating Duke at home last week and UConn head coach Randy Edsall had two weeks to prepare for the Deacons. That equation equals victory for UConn.

Troy - 10
GEORGIA TECH - 27

*The Jackets get off to a fast start by scoring on their first two possessions, but Troy reminds us how tough it is by getting within four at halftime. Unlike Florida State, Reggie Ball and Calvin Johnson have enough juice to put the Trojans away in the second half.

N.C. State - 16
S. MISSISSIPPI - 21

*One week after sprinting off the field in Raleigh, following a heart-breaking loss to Akron - head coach Chuck Amato simply strolls off the turf in Hattiesburg. He knows he's done. The Golden Eagles swarm Marcus Stone and Southern Miss prevails in an emotional victory heading into CUSA play. Amato has to sweep a three-game homestand (BC, FSU and Wake Forest) to keep his job this season.

W. Michigan - 14
VIRGINIA - 17

*Another ugly win for head coach Al Groh. Being 2-1 never felt so gross. The Cavs don't have to worry about winning ugly next week, since they have to hit the road and lose to Georgia Tech.

Furman - 9
N. CAROLINA - 14

*Poor John Bunting. This isn't how he envisioned his season starting. QB Joe Dailey has been a flop and so has his offensive line. Get ready UNC fans, your Heels are about to get the Tar knocked out of 'em the next two weeks. With trips to Clemson and Miami ahead.

CLEMSON - 19
Florida St. - 17

UPSET SPECIAL #8

*Tommy wins this year's Bowden Bowl with a brilliant second half drive orchestrated by senior QB Will Proctor. Drew Weatherford on the other hand, throws three picks as the Seminoles - once again, put too much pressure on his shoulders since they can't muster ANY SORT of running game. Lorenzo Booker better have a great combine, he's not getting any NFL attention this year.

BIG 12 CONFERENCE: 9-3 last week, 19-5 overall in this league.

Kansas - 26
TOLEDO - 35

*Must-win situation for head coach Tom Amstutz after opening up with two losses on the road. Losing to Western Michigan was really concerning. Especially after playing so well at Iowa State. This time, the Rockets get over the hump against a very good Jayhawks team.

Florida Atlantic - 16
OKLAHOMA ST. - 42

*OSU head coach Mike Gundy is smart. The best way to bring in recruits is by having them watch the Cowboys win. Therefore, schedule Missouri State, Arkansas State and FAU to open the season! It gets much more difficult next week when the Cowboys have to saddle up against the high-scoring Houston Cougars.

TEXAS - 45
Rice - 21

*The Owls will take an early 14-0 lead forcing Mack Brown to pull Colt McCoy for true freshman QB Jevan Snead. All he does is roll off 38 consecutive points and the questions begin to fly. Who is the starting QB? Is it Colt or Jevan? Man, gotta love college football.

MARSHALL - 35
Kansas St. - 23

*The Wildcats proved me wrong (sort of) by blowing out Florida Atlantic 45-0 last week. I thought it would be close, but FAU is just that bad of a football team. Keep in mind, the Wildcats beat Illinois State 24-23 in week one! This is not an upset in my mind, but on paper it is. Thundering Herd QB Bernard Morris wins this game with his legs.

Iowa State - 13
IOWA - 17

*With QB Drew Tate listed as day-to-day, the Hawkeyes are worried. Backup quarterback Jason Manson threw 4 picks and fumbled the ball in Tate's absence versus Syracuse. Here's the good news. Iowa State is also playing poorly despite a 2-0 record. QB Bret Meyer was shut down by the UNLV defense last week and in week one, the Cyclone defense couldn't stop the offense from 0-2 Toledo. I'm taking the home team in this rivalry game.

NEBRASKA - 38
USC - 35

*Believe it or not, the Cornhuskers defense will actually win this game! After handling Nebraska's intense pass rush all night, John David Booty is forced into making a critical turnover late in the game which leads to the Husker's game-winning field goal. Bill Callahan earns his first big-time victory on a national stage with Nebraska and gets set to compete for a BCS game.

ARIZONA ST. - 27
Colorado - 17

*Dan Hawkins can't seem to find a break. His Buffs look much better this week than they did against Colorado State but QB Rudy Carpenter continues to flourish for ASU. The Sun Devils pull out he narrow victory and get ready for a brutal three game set - Cal, Oregon and USC. Dan Hawkins will go home and watch a rerun of Boise State vs. Wyoming.

Oklahoma - 21
OREGON - 31

According to the AP Poll this is technically an "upset" - but to me? No way. The Quack Attack is back thanks to incredible defense from the Ducks secondary. In their first two games this season, defensive coordinator Nick Aliotti's unit held Stanford's pass heavy attack to just 224 yards and Fresno State to just 150 yards in the air. Oregon will force OU to become one dimensional - therefore Adrian Peterson's stats will look great, but QB Paul Thompson's lack of pure quarterback talent will be exposed.

Baylor - 24
WASH. ST. - 41

*QB Alex Brink looked fantastic against Idaho and helped prove me wrong last week. With the Cougars at home for a second straight week, I expect Bill Doba's club to come out and showcase how much talent really belongs in Pullman, Washington right now. As for Baylor, I loved the way they played against TCU in week one, but that was at home. Playing a Pac-Ten team on the road will teach the Bears a thing or two.

TEXAS TECH - 34
Texas Christian - 27

UPSET SPECIAL #9

*After two weeks of going against the Red Raiders, I'm finally picking Texas Tech - when they're underdogs! TCU at home isn't going to be easy, but the Red Raiders can pull it off. UTEP was a huge hurdle for head coach Mike Leach...his team won an ugly game. In years past, Tech would have lost to the Miners...but the talent level is better than ever now. The Horned Frogs looked shaky on the road to open the season against Baylor and aren't as polished as Gary Patterson would like heading into this game. Looks like Boise State is the BCS Buster now!

Army - 14
TEXAS A&M - 49

*Man I hate Dennis Franchione's schedule. First Citadel, then Louisiana-Lafayette, now Army! Oh wait, he gets to go 4-0 next week when Louisiana Tech comes to town. Will Aggie fans even care if their team is 4-0?

MISSOURI - 38
New Mexico - 24

*The Lobos give the Tigers all they have at home, but QB Chase Daniel continues to prove he's a better fit for Gary Pinkel's spread offense than the great Brad Smith. The Tigers are the Cornhuskers biggest challenger in the Big 12 North with Iowa State playing inconsistently. Expect a big game from TE Martin Rucker who's been double-teamed early on and is off to a slow start.

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE: 6-2 last week, 12-4 overall in this league.

BOISE STATE - 44
Wyoming - 14

*I'm no longer in the business of picking against the Broncos. They have "it" - which is also called IAN JOHNSON!!! This guy is so good it's scary. 240 yards and 5 touchdowns? In ONE GAME? Hey, do you know what letters are in the word BRONCOS??? B...C...S!!!!

Colorado State - 13
NEVADA - 24

*I'm not calling this an "Upset Special" based on records. I know CSU is 2-0 and Nevada is 0-2, but other variables make this prediction work. Such as, CSU's schedule. Wins over Weber State and Colorado (who lost to Montana St. as well) are NOT impressive. The Wolf Pack opened on the road against Fresno State and Arizona State - not easy. Nevada's offense gets enough to win since the Rams aren't exactly back to normal without star running back Kyle Bell.

UNLV - 35
HAWAII - 55

*Hawaii has a good football team, while UNLV will have a good football team in two seasons. The Warriors played Alabama tough in Tuscaloosa and had two weeks to prepare for their home opener against the Rebels. The defense is questionable still, despite holding the Tide to just 25 points. I know Alabama is an SEC team, but the Tide would have problems scoring against Temple if they played 'em.

UTAH - 52
Utah St. - 7

*The Utes are still angry about opening the season with a flop against UCLA. This is a good football team - just not as good as Ute fans expected. The Utah running game is working again as Darryl Poston racks up almost 100 yards on the ground for head coach Kyle Whittingham.

San Diego State - 20
WISCONSIN - 21

*This game is way too close for comfort in Madison. New Aztec head coach Chuck Long walks in like he owns the place in the first half. Then John Stocco brings the Badgers back and sets up a late field goal that keeps Wisconsin undefeated.

Brigham Young - 34
BOSTON COLLEGE - 42

*Another classic in Chestnut Hill!!!! If you love great quarterback play, watch this game! Matt Ryan and BYU's John Beck put on a clinic and neither defense stands a chance. The difference in this one will be the momentum the Eagles get off their loyal fans. Picking against BC in Chestnut Hill didn't work out for me last week - and I won't make the same mistake twice.

TEXAS TECH - 34
Texas Christian - 27

*After two weeks of going against the Red Raiders, I'm finally picking Texas Tech - when they're underdogs! TCU at home isn't going to be easy, but the Red Raiders can pull it off. UTEP was a huge hurdle for head coach Mike Leach...his team won an ugly game. In years past, Tech would have lost to the Miners...but the talent level is better than ever now. The Horned Frogs looked shaky on the road to open the season against Baylor and aren't as polished as Gary Patterson would like heading into this game. Looks like Boise State is the BCS Buster now!

MISSOURI - 38
New Mexico - 24

*The Lobos give the Tigers all they have at home, but QB Chase Daniel continues to prove he's a better fit for Gary Pinkel's spread offense than the great Brad Smith. The Tigers are the Cornhuskers biggest challenger in the Big 12 North with Iowa State playing inconsistently. Expect a big game from TE Martin Rucker who's been double-teamed early on and is off to a slow start.

MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE: 4-5 last week, 14-6 overall in this league.

Kansas - 26
TOLEDO - 35

*Must-win situation for head coach Tom Amstutz after opening up with two losses on the road. Losing to Western Michigan was really concerning. Especially after playing so well at Iowa State. This time, the Rockets get over the hump against a very good Jayhawks team.

W. Michigan - 14
VIRGINIA - 17

*Another ugly win for head coach Al Groh. Being 2-1 never felt so gross. The Cavs don't have to worry about winning ugly next week, since they have to hit the road and lose to Georgia Tech.

Ball State - 24
PURDUE - 35

*Why did you let me down last week BSU? After blowing a sweet 23-7 halftime lead over Indiana, I can't sit here and say the Cardinals will go into West Lafayette and beat the Boilermakers. Not with sophomore RB Kory Sheets playing so well. In two games, Sheets has SEVEN touchdowns!!! Quite the fantasy player huh? Anyway, the Boilermakers better enjoy this 3-0 start, because a three game losing streak is on the other side of Ball State.

Eastern Michigan - 31
NORTHWESTERN - 45

*Head coach Pat Fitzgerald will not be happy with his defense AGAIN following this victory. But at least his offense gets on track again after losing to NEW HAMPSHIRE! Tyrell Sutton explodes for over 200 yards in a much needed moral boost for the Wildcats.

Bowling Green - 31
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL - 35

*After a heart-breaking loss to USF last week, the Golden Panthers faithful (around 11,000) rush the FIU Stadium field to celebrate a great home victory! Things aren't looking good for Bowling Green head coach Gregg Brandon, who's fresh off an OVERTIME win over...BUFFALO!

Ohio - 20
RUTGERS - 35

*The Scarlet Knights are making a believer out of me!!! After picking against them in week one versus UNC, I've learned my lesson, never second guess such a storied football tradition!!! HAHAHAHAHA! Well, that's obviously a joke, but this team is not. Ray Rice and Brian Leonard combine for one of the best backfields in the nation. Despite picking against Ohio last week versus N. Illinois and getting burned, I'm going against the Bobcats two weeks in a row. Nothing personal Frank Solich - I promise!

AKRON - 20
C. Michigan - 17

*There is NO WAY the Zips lose this road game after leaving Raleigh with one of the biggest wins in program history. QB Luke Getsy is becoming another one of those MAC quarterbacks that end up getting paid to play after college. Central Michigan will be very hungry for a win after playing well against Boston College and hanging around with Michigan. Set your VCR's for this MAC showdown...it'll be a good one.

Kent State - 10
MIAMI (OH) - 35

*Kent State is a bad football team. After losing 44-0 to Minnesota I picked the Golden Flashes to beat Army. They let me down. Now, they hit the road to face a Redhawk team that opened the year against two Big Ten schools. Sorry Doug Martin, your Flashes are burned out.

Buffalo - 28
N. ILLINOIS - 49

*What more does RB Garret Wolfe have to do for his team to win? How about 235 yards rushing and 4 touchdowns? Get ready for a full-moon Turner Gill, because the Wolfe-Man is destroying your Bulls!

INDEPENDENTS: 3-1 last week, 6-2 overall picking Independents.

Michigan - 13
NOTRE DAME - 45

*NBC won't be happy. The Irish blow this thing wide open early against a lethargic Michigan team that can't seem to throw the ball anymore. Lloyd Carr's popularity level hits an all new low after this channel-changer.

NAVY - 48
Stanford - 45 (OT)

*Another tough loss to swallow for head coach Walt Harris. The Cardinal offense finally gets going at the same time the defensive line falls apart. Expect a huge game from RB Reggie Campbell who runs in the game-winning touchdown in OT to send the Stanford faithful home screaming. Paul Johnson celebrates a 3-0 record and heads home to get ready for Tulsa next week (on CSTV at 1ET by the way).

Army - 14
TEXAS A&M - 49

*Man I hate Dennis Franchione's schedule. First Citadel, then Louisiana-Lafayette, now Army! Oh wait, he gets to go 4-0 next week when Louisiana Tech comes to town. Will Aggie fans even care if their team is 4-0?

Temple - 7
MINNESOTA - 55

*The Gophers ground game was held in check last week by the Cal Bears, but things are different this week. They get to play TEMPLE!!! Like the NBA Draft, I think Temple's schedule should be announced on national television with Myles Brand presenting the names of the lucky opponents.

Posted by Amsinger at 02:37 PM on September 12, 2006
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