41-14...BRING IT!

By Amsinger - November 06, 2006


With the regular season winding down, my focus is back. Only 14 miscues in all of Division 1A football! My 4th grade teacher, a goofy pal from college and relatives I never knew I had emailed me to say congrats. When folks start coming out of the woodwork you know you're on fire.

So how did I go 41-14 in week ten? How about picking Wisconsin over Penn State, KENTUCKY over Georgia, LSU over Tennessee, Louisville over West Virginia and Houston over Tulsa? All very strong picks I must say.

My overall record stands at 422-164. I know, impressive. What? You don't believe me? Check out my progress throughout the season and bust out your calculator.

Week 1: 61-12
Week 2: 46-18
Week 3: 47-15
Week 4: 43-15
Week 5: 38-17
Week 6: 38-18
Week 7: 34-20
Week 8: 40-16
Week 9: 34-19
Week 10: 41-14

Let's get the pickin' off to a good start with a week eleven projection.

How does 45-9 sound?

BIG TEN CONFERENCE: 4-2 last week, 61-15 in this league.

OHIO ST. - 31
N'Western - 10

*Troy Smith needs to boost his Heisman stats in this game. Especially after Brady Quinn was running the two-minute offense with seven minutes left against North Carolina last week.

MICHIGAN - 28
Indiana - 17

*Another ugly win for the nation's second best team? Really? Would the Wolverines beat Florida, Texas or LOUISVILLE? Hmmm...

WISCONSIN - 17
Iowa - 9

*The Hawkeyes are folding up the tent. If they don't watch it, so will head coach Kirk Ferentz. What's stopping him from jumping to a bigger, better job? Oh yeah, P.J. Hill Jr. is putting together one of the best freshman seasons EVER at Wisconsin. He's less than 500 yards from passing Ron Dayne's freshman record 1,863 yards rushing.

MINNESOTA - 40
Michigan St. - 27

*John L. Smith wants a bowl game more than a new job. Hold on, that's not true...at all.

Purdue - 28
ILLINOIS - 31

UPSET SPECIAL #1

*The Boilermakers have six wins, hence a bowl game. Illinois wants even more respect after playing so well against Ohio State. Basically, the Illini have more to play for at home.

Temple - 14
PENN ST. - 28

*Ugly win for poor Joe Paterno. Will he coach from a wheel chair on the sideline? That would be a sad sight.

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE: 6-1 last week, 63-15 in this league.

Georgia - 13
AUBURN - 17

*Much closer than most think. Keep in mind, the Bulldogs still own a few playmakers on defense. Pair the Dawg "D" with a lethargic Auburn offense that could only muster 27 points against Arkansas State and 23 points against Ole Miss and Mark Richt comes close to pulling off the upset.

TENNESSEE - 24
Arkansas - 23

UPSET SPECIAL #2

*Placekicker James WIlhoit wins this game with a lengthy field goal as time expires in Fayetteville. I know RB Arian Foster won't play and QB Erik Ainge is doubtful, but neither one of those guys were factors last week and the Vols were seconds away from beating LSU. Arkansas comes back to reality.

S. Carolina - 14
FLORIDA - 34

*Spurrier back in the swamp. He's going to be SOOOO jealous of Urban Meyer.

Alabama - 7
LSU - 23

*The Tide offense failed miserably this season. Kenneth Darby never got on track and J.P. Wilson was asked to do too much from the quarterback position. LSU is back and ready to impress the hometown crowd after a vital road win in Knoxville.

Vanderbilt - 24
KENTUCKY - 38

*The Commodores can play defense, but Lexington is still buzzing after tearing down the goalposts following the Georgia game. Therefore, the Wildcats high-powered offense feeds of the locals and cement a bowl game for embattled head coach Rich Brooks.

PAC-TEN CONFERENCE: 4-1 last week, 41-19 overall in this league.

Oregon - 28
USC - 41

*The Trojans will not lose two in a row. At least not yet. I'm giving away predictions here - USC loses to Cal AND Notre Dame!!!

CAL - 30
Arizona - 17

*The Wildcats defense does a great job slowing down the Bears. Holding Cal to just 30 points is fantastic. Unfortunately for Mike Stoops, his offense can't score 31.

OREGON ST. - 35
UCLA - 20

*The Beavers are sizzling with four straight wins. Give SR QB Matt Moore credit. The younger, more talented Sean Canfield is ready to go, but he's been sitting on the pine because Moore found a way to rally the troops after losing three of four.

Washington St. - 34
ARIZONA ST. - 38

UPSET SPECIAL #3

*The Sun Devils don't fold up shop without a bowl appearance. There's no way QB Rudy Carpenter can play any worse than he did last week going 9-27 for 124 yards and two picks. ASU bounces back against a decent Washington State team.

Stanford - 17
WASHINGTON - 44

*After this loss, Walt Harris is 0-10 in his second season at Palo Alto. Here's the bad news. Few are surprised.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE: 4-3 last week, 55-21 overall in this league.

WAKE FOREST - 24
Florida State - 17

*I'm sick of picking against the Demon Deacons, this is a good team! Jim Grobe's guys head to Tallahassee and shut down an already struggling Seminole offense. Sure Greg Schiano, Jim Tressel, Lloyd Carr and Bobby Petrino deserve national coach of the year recognition - but so does Grobe. 9-1? Give the award to Grobe!

GEORGIA TECH - 35
North Carolina - 16

*The Jackets are the best TEAM in the ACC. I know I just showered Wake Forest with compliments, but I've said all season long Tech is tough. Calvin Johnson has a field day against the weak Carolina defense.

Duke - 3
BOSTON COLLEGE - 45

*Ted Roof watches his guys get the beat-down B.C. wanted to give to Wake Forest.

Kent State - 7
VA. TECH - 58

*Uh, the Golden Flashes gave up 38 points in ONE HALF to BUFFALO last week. Get psyched for a smash boys.

MIAMI - 14
Maryland - 13

UPSET SPECIAL #4

*Okay, folks in Maryland think I'm a "Terp Trasher" - but I'm not. Seriously, I want the best possible record too. Maryland shocked the world against Clemson, but Miami needs to make some sort of statement in this conference and they do it at Byrd Stadium.

N.C. State - 10
CLEMSON - 49

*Can you believe the heat is back on Tommy Bowden? Who knew after the Georgia Tech game this would happen? The Tigers do their best to make fans forget about the last two weeks against the lowly Pack.

BIG 12 CONFERENCE: 4-2 last week, 58-25 overall in this league.

TEXAS - 51
Kansas St. - 7

*Call this a "Poll Voter Game." The Longhorns want everyone to think they're the best one-loss team in America and they deserve a spot in Glendale for the BCS Championship game. Colt McCoy will be throwing passes with two minutes left.

TEXAS TECH - 31
Oklahoma - 28

UPSET SPECIAL #5

*Keep in mind the Red Raiders SHOULD HAVE beaten Texas two weeks ago. OU is playing well without Adrian Peterson, but all good things come to an end and this one has "upset special" written all over it.

NEBRASKA - 30
Texas A&M - 16

*Despite hanging with Oklahoma at home, reality is sinking in for the Aggies. A soft schedule doesn't make you a good team.

Baylor - 31
OK. ST. - 42

*Mike Gundy is Bowl eligible! This is a must-win for Oklahoma State considering they travel to Texas Tech next week and host Oklahoma to end the regular season.

Iowa State - 10
COLORADO - 16

UPSET SPECIAL #6

*I know what you're thinking. "Amsinger, if you care about your record - why do pick Colorado so much?" - Good point. Couple reasons for this expectation: 1.) Iowa State is soooooooo bad right now. 2.) It's Senior Day in Boulder! We all know how hard it is to win on an opposing Senior Day.

BIG EAST CONFERENCE: 1-1 last week, 42-12 overall in this league.

LOUISVILLE - 35
Rutgers - 17

*Too much firepower for the Scarlet Knights. Sure they have a "great" defense, but who have they played? Navy without their starting quarterback and USF who was a dropped two-point conversion away from heading to OT with them? Sure the Knights held Pitt to 10 points on the road, but that same Pitt team lost to USF and only scored 12 points against the Bulls. The Cardinals are clearly the ONLY team in this conference worthy of playing for a national title.

Cincinnati - 21
W. VIRGINIA - 28

*WHOA! Watch out Morgantown! The Mountaineers lost more than a football game last week, some of their inspiration went with it. The Bearcats come close to pulling off the upset.

Syracuse - 13
USF - 27

*The Orange lock up another losing season in up-state New York while the Bulls are emerging into a significant player in this evolving Big East Conference.

PITTSBURGH - 28
Connecticut - 17

*Tyle Palko gets back on track after two straight smelly performances against Rutgers and USF. UConn hangs around once again, but just not enough to get over the hump. Keep in mind this Huskies program is two years away from being a Big East contender.

CONFERENCE USA: 5-1 last week, 51-27 overall in this league.

Rice - 24
TULSA - 38

*The Owls proved how wrong I was on UTEP in the preseason. Well done...thanks. This week QB Paul Smith bounces back after being competely shut down by Houston.

HOUSTON - 35
SMU - 20

*Kevin Kolb proved last week he's the best player in this conference. His stats are amazing, 22 touchdown passes and just THREE picks after chucking 15 interceptions last year. He's a proven leader and future NFL starter.

SO. MISS - 23
Tulane - 13

*The Eagles are frustrated with a 5-4 record. After blowing out lowly Memphis, RB Damion Fletcher and Co. are preparing to win out. Not kidding, get ready for an 8-4 overall record.

UTEP - 27
UAB - 28

*Good game between two disappointing teams. The Miners are making a believer out of me...they're not very good.

Marshall - 12
ECU - 20

*The Pirates are in control of their own destiny in terms of the CUSA Championship. With a 4-2 league record and just two games left (including this one) against two beatable opponents, Skip Holtz is the frontrunner for CUSA Coach of the Year.

UCF - 24
Memphis - 10

*UCF took four steps backwards from last season, still George O'Leary will take a win anyway he can get 'em. Don't be rattled if the Knights end the regular season with a three game winning streak.

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE: 3-1 last week, 35-22 overall in this league.

NOTRE DAME - 38
Air Force - 28

*Get ready! Much closer than expected! Brady Quinn puts up big numbers, but so do the Falcons. Don't miss this close call on CSTV!!!!!

Wyoming - 14
BYU - 27

*Seven straight wins (including this), undefeated in conference play and an unstoppable offense has all the makings of MWC Coach of the Year for Bronco Mendanhall.

TCU - 35
New Mexico - 21

*Few are talking about the Horned Frogs which is too bad. This is still a very good football team.

UNLV - 20
SAN DIEGO ST. - 23

*The cellar-dwellers of the Mountain go head-to-head and I'm going with the team playing better right now. The Aztecs almost upset Wyoming at their place. Meanwhile, the Aztecs have a longer losing streak - 8 games.

Colorado St. - 28
UTAH - 30

*Both teams are dragging themselves to the finish line. The Utes win because they're at home.

WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE: 4-1 last week, 41-12 overall in this league.

Boise State - 30
SAN JOSE ST. - 41

UPSET SPECIAL #7

*The Spartans are undefeated at home and have convinced me how good they are. This is not a knock on the Broncos, but more pointing out that all good things must come to an end. The undefeated dream ends here for Boise State.

La. Tech - 21
HAWAII - 51

*This great Warrior offense is one of the nation's best. 8-2 and 6-1 in the WAC deserves plenty of attention.

Utah State - 9
NEVADA - 27

*Nevada is solid, the Aggies are...well, not.

New Mexico St. - 42
FRESNO STATE - 45

*The Bulldogs need to give - what's remaining of their fan base - something to cheer about. Thankfully, the Aggies are just the team to help them do it.

MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE: 5-1 last week, 57-21 overall in this league.

NAVY - 28
E. Michigan - 13

*The Mids three losses are to teams with a combined 23-3 record. EMU is 1-8, so enjoy this road win Navy fans.

W. Michigan - 20
C. MICHIGAN - 34

*Along the line of Navy, the three losses for the Chippewas (CMU) are to teams like Boston College, Kentucky and Michigan. They're battle-tested and ready to beat their rival at home.

Buffalo - 17
AKRON - 21

*Sure the Bulls came back and were unstoppable in the second half last week, but things change on the road. That...and the Zips have better players - at the moment.

Toledo - 27
N. ILLINOIS - 41

*Garrett Wolfe hasn't seen the century-mark in rushing yards in FOREVER (for him) and gets off the snide at home against a very disappointing Toledo team.

Kent State - 7
VA. TECH - 58

*Uh, the Golden Flashes gave up 38 points in ONE HALF to BUFFALO last week. Get psyched for a smash boys.

SUN-BELT CONFERENCE: 4-0 last week, 42-11 overall in this league.

M. TENN. ST. - 20
Arkansas St. - 17

*Expect a great game between these two. The difference, the Blue Raiders own the teams in this conference. With this win, they're a perfect 6-0 in the Belt.

La. - Monroe - 14
FL. INTERNATIONAL - 27

UPSET SPECIAL #8

*Give it up to the Owls!!!! FIU's first win of the year gives its' poor fans who had to survive the press of the Miami brawl something worth coming back for next year.

TROY - 23
Fl. Atlantic - 9

*I'm a big believer on this Trojan football team. After playing THREE ranked teams in their non-conference schedule, this team is WITHOUT QUESTION one of two teams worth bragging about in this conference. Middle Tennessee State being the other.

North Texas - 16
LA. LAFAYETTE - 28

*The Ragin' Cajuns end their two game skid (lost to M. Tenn. State and Troy) and get ready to end the season with nothing but victories. Get ready Lafayette fans, an 8-4 record is coming your way.

INDEPENDENTS: 3-1 last week, 30-7 overall in this league.

NOTRE DAME - 38
Air Force - 28

*Get ready! Much closer than expected! Brady Quinn puts up big numbers, but so do the Falcons. Don't miss this close call on CSTV!!!!!

Temple - 14
PENN ST. - 28

*Ugly win for poor Joe Paterno. Will he coach from a wheel chair on the sideline? That would be a sad sight.

NAVY - 28
E. Michigan - 13

*The Mids three losses are to teams with a combined 23-3 record. EMU is 1-8, so enjoy this road win Navy fans.

Posted by Amsinger at 07:30 PM on November 06, 2006
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