MWC: Horned Frogs Favored in Vegas
By Jason Owens - May 22, 2007
There's a lot at stake when the Mountain West baseball tournament gets started on Wednesday with CSTV projecting TCU as the only MWC team to make postseason NCAA play. So if anybody else wants to keep playing, they've got to win this week in Las Vegas.
TCU
The Horned Frogs earned the top seed in Las Vegas and the No. 18 ranking in the country courtesy of their team record 43 wins. They finished at 20-3 in conference play, 3.5 games ahead of second place BYU and at least 8.5 games ahead of the rest of the conference. They're a well-balanced team with all but one of their regular starters hitting better than .300 (Bryan Kervin hits .298) and their three starting pitchers all maintaining an ERA of 3.80 or better. Keith Conlon always gives them a chance with a .386 batting average while cleanup hitter Austin Adams takes advantage of his opportunities with 12 home runs and 60 RBI on the season.
Not only is it tough to find a weak spot on the Horned Frogs, but they’re hot as well. They've won 10 of their last 12 entering tournament play and look like a very tough out this week. TCU gets a bye in the first round and takes on the lowest remaining seed on Thursday.
BYU
If anybody has a chance to topple the Horned Frogs, it's BYU. The Cougars handed TCU two of their three conference losses, including a 5-0 win just a month ago. They're also red-hot, having won 13 of their last 15, including their last six games. Like the Horned Frogs, BYU has a balanced offense with eight players hitting above .300. But their best chance at winning this week lies on the arm of staff ace Jesse Craig, who finished with a 10-2 record and 2.80 ERA. He also orchestrated the shutout win over TCU. If the Cougars are going to have a chance, they'll need Craig ready for a potential matchup against the Horned Frogs. Like TCU, BYU has a first-round bye. If both teams win their Thursday games, they would meet on Friday with the winner getting a free pass to the championship game in the double-elimination format.
Utah
The Utes lead the best of the rest -- but barely. Things get really muddled in the MWC standings beyond BYU with three teams finishing at 12-12 in conference play. The Utes earned the tiebreaker and enter play as the No. 3 seed. If the Utes are going to make any noise this week, they'll have to rely on their bats -- specifically top two hitters Corey Shimada and Jay Brossman. Shimada takes a .358 batting average and 45 RBI into tournament play while Brossman finished the season with a team best 10 home runs and 49 RBI. If the Utah bats don't catch fire, there's not much to fall back on in the pitching staff. Ace Eric King finished the season with a 3.96 ERA while the collective staff ERA is 5.36 with a .307 opponents batting average. The Utes face host UNLV on Wednesday. The two teams split the season series, 3-3.
SDSU
Tony Gwynn's Aztecs had another middling season this year with a 12-12 record in MWC play. They don't have powerful bats with just 20 home runs, but they do get on base with all their regular starters hitting at .297 or better. The pitching staff is middle of the road as well with a collective 4.14 ERA and staff ace Lance Sewell holding a 3.28 ERA and 5-5 record as a starter. The Aztecs take on New Mexico in the first round. SDSU finished with a 4-2 record against the Lobos this season.
New Mexico
The Lobos, 12-12 in conference play, are fresh off a season-closing 9-8 win over TCU heading into tournament play, becoming the only team besides BYU to hang a conference loss on the Horned Frogs this season. Jordan Pacheco is one of the nation's best hitters with a .421 average to go with five home runs and 49 RBI. He's followed by Daniel Stovall who takes advantage of Pacheco's good hitting with a .364 average of his own that’s led to a team best 59 RBI. Together, they make one of the best hitting combinations in the conference. They'll need to get hot and produce runs to back up an abysmal pitching staff that allows 6.07 runs per game. Look for New Mexico to be involved in some high-scoring affairs.
UNLV
The host Rebels come in as the lowest seeded team and will face Utah in the first round. They are coming off a four-game winning streak to end the season, but three of those wins were against Air Force, which finished 0-23 in MWC play. With a 10-14 conference record, UNLV struggled to slow down opposing bats with a team ERA of 6.06. All of their starters post an ERA of 5.80 or worse, so they'll need some big plays from top hitters Keith Smith and Ryan Kowalski, who combined for 84 RBI this season.
Posted by Jason Owens at 07:54 PM on May 22, 2007
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